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(Give a reason to back up prediction)
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I am going to have to give 2 seperate predictions here. There is just to much and to many uncertainties to classify just one prediction.
1. Vols - 41 MSU - 27. We know MSU can move the ball and score points but coming off a bye week, UT's defense fixes a few things. Not enough to hold them to less than 21 pts but it is enough to win and win in convincing fashion. The offensive line for UT showed up against UGA and is continuing to run the ball well. We know UT can pass.
2. MSU - 42 UT - 31. If Tennessee doesnt fix things on defense then MSU will win a shoot out. Turnovers hurt us in the second half with the cowbells going crazy. They pull away in the 4th.
That is how I see things. People can say MSU is unproven but they are undefeated. And we are playing them at MSU. Going to be a tough game for the Vols for sure.
Statistically UT and MSU are very similar, except that UT has played a much harder schedule.
- I think it's interesting that MSU's secondary are the ones getting the "ballhawk" label, when they have 9 INTs. UT has 9 INTs and has played against at least two, maybe three future NFL QBs.
- After going up against UF's and UGA's defensive lines and line backers full of NFL talent, UT averages only 2.4 rushing yards per game less than MSU.
- For all the credit MSU's offense is getting for being the best it has been in years, the 3 FBS teams it has faced rank 77, 71, and 72 it total defense. UT has faced 4 FBS teams that rank 60, 12, 109, and 53 and averages 100 yards per game more than MSU.
- For all the credit MSU's defense is getting, the 3 FBS teams it has faced rank 115, 19, and 106. The 19th ranked team (Troy) put up 572 yards of offense on them. UT has faced 4 FBS teams that rank 46, 89, 30, and 24. UT gives up 100 yards per game more, but a lot of that can be attributed to the schedule.
I don't think this game will be easy because the Bulldogs will by hyped and the stadium will be rocking, but I don't see any way we lose this game unless we play like we did in the 4th Q against Florida or the 1st quarter against UGA for an extended period of time. Those teams were too good to overcome those mistakes, but MSU is not nearly as good as either. They are good, but UT is definitely better and is more battle-tested.
I'm calling UT 34 MSU 17. Neal runs for 110 and 2 TDs, Bray throws for 280 and 2 TDs, AJ runs one in at the goal line, and..... we miss an extra point.
This is everything I have been thinking except the score I think both teams score one more than this score line. The stats are about what I expect down to the aj TD and missed XP
Devrin will finally get his special teams TD this week! Calling it!
This post was edited by coolkeeper 18 months ago
There is at least one part of your prediction I agree with!!!!!!
~The Volunteer in Brooklyn~
I think we control the game from the start and the defense will be a pleasant surprise. 2 weeks to prepare is huge. I don't think we will endure the same amount of running success we had against UGA, but I think CP or Hunter scores on a bomb and we get a defensive TD. Go Vols.
I think Drizzle is right on about a bomb to Hunter or CP. Hunter has had the drops ad CP dropped that big one against UGA, I think they come out focused against the most hyped secondary in the country and put on a show. This is an NFL draft game, and I expect a lot from those 2. Plus Neal with a weeks rest should come back even stronger.
I'm honestly very surprised the experts haven't shown the vols more respect in this one. Most people are picking Miss State
I think UT wins this one 34-21. It would be a good win, but I don't think is an upset. MSU has played Brownie Troop 219, Little Sisters of the Poor, Hair Club for Men, South Hampton Institute of Technology (acronym) and a surprisingly bad Auburn team.
Tennessee wins 37-16. Coach Sal and the D will improve on outside containment and McNeil will add some tenacity. State hits on one big play, but for the most part the Vols hold them to FGs. Neal will catch a screen for a TD and add another one on the ground. GO BIG ORANGE!
"Old School"! A strong defense wins championships!
So, Drizzle, I promise I am not asking this with anything other than honest curiosity (and you aren't the only one who has made this comment) but are you saying that you think MSU's D is better than UGA? I guess I am struggling with understanding how MSU will be that much better in stopping our run-game than UGA. But I am no expert. I will say that one of the things that encouraged me the most in the UGA game was seeing how many different people were involved in moving the football, and all the different ways we got them the ball. Maybe my glasses are just too orange, but I just think we seem to be progressing more and more in getting more people involved with the offense that I think our O will be harder and harder to defend. Again, my glasses are really orange-tinted. I am concerned about the D though, so it will be interesting to see what progress was made in the bye-week. But I want to say UT-45, MSU-31.
One other thing I will add. I think the biggest thing about Our schedule, vs. MSU's schedule is that playing against stronger teams early on not only provides more mental toughness, but it exposes weak areas that a team needs to work on, much more than playing the cupcake schedule that MSU has played so far. Our weaknesses have definitely been exposed, hopefully Providing opportunity to fix some things in the bye-week.
Mississippi State is undefeated, ranked in the top 20 and playing at home. Those are three pretty good reasons the Bulldogs are 3-point favorites in this game.
Staff writer for govols247 — http://www.twitter.com/RyanCallahan247 — firstname.lastname@example.org
That's a fair question. Here is my honest assessment of the UGA game. They came out flat, knew they were the superior team and thought they could just win doing the bare minimum. We were a trap game. If UGA really played, they would've won by 20, but thats JMO...
This is a bigger game for Miss St than it was for UGA. They will be fired up, its a 9PM game, and all they here about is how explosive our offense is. I also am not sold on our running gyame after just 1 game. Remember last year when we had success running the ball against LSU and thought we turned a corner? Well that wasn't the case. UGA also had trouble stopping every team on there schedule against the run not just us. (I think they are a little soft, reflects the HC) Mullens teams always play hard and while we may run for 150 yards, I don't think we will get the same consistnecy we had against UGA when it seemed we could get 5-6 yards at will...
I just think if we still show balance, bring up that safety a little bit, we can hit some homeruns. Gonna be tough, Mullen will have his team ready.
Nice assessment drizzy. +1 GO VOLS!
BUTCH IS NOT FOR THE FAINT OF HEART. GO VOLS!
UT 35, Miss St. 27. MSU hasn't played any quality opponents this season, so they're a little too fat and happy right now. Neither their offense nor defense are on Georgia's level, and that was a game Tennessee coul have won despite the errors on both sides of the ball.
A lot has been made about their secondary, but UT has already demonstrated it can neutralize the safeties (see NC State). Likewise, the OL rendered Jarvis Jones into irrelevancy against UGA, so that just opens up even more holes for Neal to run through.
I think the bye week allowed this team to work on the fundamentals and possibly add another wrinkle or two to the offense. Remember that MSU was watching game footage that was at least two weeks old. If UT can build on the positives from UGA and minimize the deficiencies from that game, they can beat anyone left on their schedule.
The final factor that I think will help Tennessee is Dooley's presence in the press box. That vantage gives him an opportunity to see things differently that one can see at field level, and that might allow this team to make some adjustments (both against MSU and going forward) that will further contribute to a solid season for the Volunteers.
With our D allowing so many big plays it's kind of hard to pick UT, but I've watched state play two games this year and have felt that they're overrated on D. They play smart ball though so I know there won't be a blowout. I think Bray and company are too much for the dawgs O to match and that we win a high scoring game 38-31.
This post was edited by dogassnat 18 months ago
I'm not suggesting that MSU shouldn't be ranked, but seeing as how UT has shown potential to be about half a dozen plays short of also being undefeated versus a substantially harder schedule, I'm thinking UT has a chance to make this one look like a cake walk.
Conversely, we've also shown tendencies that, if they reoccur, will bury us on the road.
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